Friday, January 31, 2025

How long can this go on? A short note on American politics

The Trumpists’ blitzkrieg was not unexpected, though I think it’s been faster and more extensive than anyone had anticipated. What I’m wondering: How long can this go on?

I’m not thinking about weeks or months. I’m thinking about the next presidential election cycle. The Trumpists and the GOP are assuming that they’ll win in 2028 and install Vance or whomever in the White House. Their minions will be able to keep their jobs. They’ll be continuity of government.

But this is by no means guaranteed. The world’s too volatile, and much of that volatility is beyond (anyone’s) political control. The Democrats might well win. What then?

Will they blitz the Trumpist GOP out of Washington? That’s not the Democrat’s proceduralist style. But if they move away from that to a dirtier style, then it’ll be another blitz.

Will 2032 bring a blitz back in the other direction? What about 2036? How long can the body politic play the game of blitz and counter-blitz?

I don’t know. But I don’t think it can go on too long. It’s too chaotic. It’s one thing to blitz an administration out of Washington and then have the new regime settle down for a couple of decades. But a continuous blitz-and-counter-blitz is likely to collapse the Federal Government.

What would that look like? I don’t know. That’s why I’m writing this post.

Interesting times.

5 comments:

  1. The Democrats need to establish different front runners for the office of President. And, look again at the Democratic platform.

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  2. Not feeling too Seren! Dipity.

    "Trumpists’ blitzkrieg" maybe as seen for us minions, but more like... the "catastrophic Chicxulub impact", and way bigger than
    Tunguska.
    Except the evil dinosaurs will with stand the hit. We will need every human to avert the impact. But coordiation is a problem as the media has already kissed the ring.

    ""It is likely around the same size as the 1908 Tunguska rock or the Meteor Crater rock," Rankin said. "So, while impact effects would be more localized than regional, it certainly has the potential to do serious damage to the area it hits."

    "Tunguska is currently the largest recorded asteroid strike event in human history, though we know of many greater impacts in prehistoric times. The most notable of these is the catastrophic Chicxulub impact, which happened around 66 million years ago and wiped out two-thirds of life on Earth and ended the reign of the dinosaurs."
    ...
    https://www.space.com/180-foot-asteroid-1-in-83-chance-hitting-Earth-2032

    Dipity.

    ReplyDelete
  3. "Never surrender! Never give up!" – Cmdr Peter Quincy Taggart of the NSEA Protector

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  4. "Two mice were dropped into a vat of milk. One gave up trying and drowned. They other tried so hard it churned the milk into butter and walked out"
    Catch me if you can.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catch_Me_If_You_Can

    ReplyDelete