Sunday, January 25, 2026

Brief reflections on the current state of America: We’re stuck, we’re collapsing

I was not happy voting for Kamala Harris in 2024, but I certainly wasn’t going to vote for Donld Trump. He’s turned out to be worse than I’d feared. Though we have no way of knowing, I can’t imagine that Kamala Harris would have been worse. I’m pretty sure that she would have been better for one, for two terms. Beyond that? Who knows?

It has been clear to me for some time, say two decades, that the institutional structure by which the world has been organized for the century and a half, that organizational structure is fraying badly. Our institutions aren’t working very well. One consequence: A large number of Americans were willing to elect an obviously deeply flawed and corrupt man to the presidency, Donald J. Trump. I cannot imagine that eight year of Kamala Harris would have changed that significantly. Whatever the source of the desperate displeasure in the electorate, that will still remain in force.

Now we have AI. There is no way we can predict how that will unfold. The only thing we can be sure of is that it will be deeply disruptive. Job loss, a collapse of an over-inflated stock market, who knows? Had Harris been elected this would still have happened. Perhaps a Harris administration would have been more inclined to regulate AI, but I cannot imagine that the effects would have been any more than marginal. AI technology will be fundamentally disruptive in the short and into the mid-term, though it may prove enormously positive in the long term. But we have to get there.

AI, and the internet before it, is emerging in the consequence of an increasingly obsolete institutional regime, an obsolescence that the technology will intensify. What kind of institutions would we have if they had originated in the context of the technology we now have, and that is emerging? That’s where we need to go? How do we get there? In the context of that question it is by no means obvious that a Kamala Harris administration would have been better than the Trump administration is proving to be.

4 comments:

  1. The Q by BB; "What kind of institutions would we have if they had originated in the context of the technology we now have, and that is emerging?"

    The following sentence is a conflation, allowing rwnj's to cherry pick BB to equate Karmala with Donald...
    "In the context of that question it is by no means obvious that a Kamala Harris administration would have been better than the Trump administration is proving to be."

    Bill, imo the last paragraph is worthy and worse than the bothsiderism of the paper of record- the nyt.

    Really Bill. Any rigorous evaluation, or just assertion and opinion?

    In the context of that question it is [Ed. Delete "by no means"] obvious that a Kamala Harris administration would have been better than the Trump administration is proving to be.

    Really Bill? Are you kidding?
    Please help us understand how you are able to equate K with the Canteloupe Caligula.

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  2. It is worth listening to Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway in this discussion about the shooting of Alex Pretti and the administration's response to it. Some commenters on other platforms have questioned why it is always mentioned that Pretti was a registered nurse. Note that 15,000 registered nurses in NYC have gone on strike. One of the hospitals has actually taken away the health benefits of the nurses. Such aggressive action can take place so shamelessly in part because this government administration ties itself to the stock market. Shame on that hospital! Nurses have long worked under grueling conditions, bearing a lot of responsibility, and have been increasingly subject to violence on the job -- assaults leading to permanent blindness, head trauma. None of the corporate paper pushers could endure the shifts that a nurse like Alex Pretti worked week after week. Thank goodness Mayor Mamdani marched with the nurses. (And in a parting act of corporate interest, Adams launched a crypto coin from which he then pulled the rug on his investment -- leaving the investors broke. Who does that? We know who.)

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    Replies
    1. I follow her regularly and have seen that discussion.

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  3. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFsdnQCyuOQ

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