Three Hypotheses to Explain $7T
— Gary Marcus (@GaryMarcus) February 11, 2024
Hypothesis 1: GPT-5 is going to disappoint (see link below)
Hypothesis 2: Altman knows this
Hypothesis 3: So he is trying to raise every penny he can now before GPT-5 comes out.
One sample bit of evidence for hypothesis 1: pic.twitter.com/6OIWIVkf1u
Altman's attempt at a $ 7T raise seems a bit extreme, even for him. The same with Hinton's recent hallucinatory diatribe against Gary Marcus. Sutskever's been saying some weird things as well). Are things on the Great Rush to AGI falling behind schedule? Are these guys getting just a bit worried and expressing it by doubling down?
Here's the article about the Bill Gates interview:
In an interview with German business newspaper Handelsblatt, the 67-year-old said that there were plenty of reasons to believe that GPT technology reached a plateau. He also admitted that he could be wrong. He said that contrary to what people at OpenAI think about GPT-5, he believes that current generative AI has reached a ceiling. Talking about benchmark, he termed the leap from GPT-2 to GPT-4 as “incredible”.
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