Wednesday, January 22, 2025

OpenAI announces Stargate Project [not the media franchise]

Color me deeply skeptical and very interested. I believe that AGI is a meaningless concept & its pursuit is tantamount to chasing down a mirage looking for leprechaun gold at the end of a rainbow.* The scaling hypothesis is like believing we can go to Mars by building a long-enough ladder. But for these companies – SoftBank, OpenAI, Oracle, and MGX, Arm, NVIDIA – to go in on this...That's hella' interesting. I fear they're going to loose their shirts.

What does it mean that we live in an era where private companies can rival national governments in reach and scope? It's the British East India Company all over again. But the East India Company had products and a market into which to sell them. When Scaling Mt. AGI begins to waver, what happens to Stargate's market? Who'll buy the product? 

*Note: I'm bullish on the overall project of building artificial minds, I just don't think these guys know how to do it. I don't either. Don't know anyone who does, really. But I have a pretty good idea where the keys are, and they aren't under the lamppost.

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